Fed’s hawkish cut, oil rallies, and Bitcoin eyes $100K

David Morrison

SENIOR MARKET ANALYST

07 Jan 2025 - 2min Read

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The Federal Reserve closed out 2024 with a widely expected 25bps rate cut, but investors were left unimpressed by the FOMC’s updated projections. The latest outlook suggests just 50bps of cuts for 2025—half of what was forecasted back in September. Markets reacted with uncertainty, leaving equities struggling to find direction.

Stocks slip as Santa rally fizzles

US equities saw volatile trading into the New Year, with sharp swings and end-of-year rebalancing setting the tone. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 both pulled back to December lows, raising questions on whether 2025 will open with a bearish trend or if this is merely a temporary stumble.

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Crude oil breaks out

Oil markets kicked off the year with bullish momentum, as US Light Crude snapped its streak of lower highs, rallying nearly 6% last week. The rebound could signal renewed strength in the energy sector, with traders eyeing further upside potential.

Gold and silver shine

Precious metals are showing early strength in 2025, with both gold and silver pushing higher despite a firm US dollar. Technical indicators suggest further upside, making these assets one to watch closely in the coming weeks.

Bitcoin holds steady above $91K

Bitcoin remains resilient above the $91K mark, but the key challenge remains—breaking through the psychological $100K barrier. As traders speculate on crypto’s next big breakout, 2025 could shape up to be another pivotal year for digital assets.

Key economic data to watch

Monday

  • China’s Caixin Services PMI
  • Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence

Tuesday

  • Australia CPI
  • Eurozone CPI
  • US ISM Services PMI

Wednesday

  • US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
  • Crude Oil Inventories
  • FOMC Minutes

Friday

  • US Non-Farm Payrolls
  • Unemployment Rate
  • Consumer Sentiment

Traders will closely watch these data releases to gauge economic momentum heading into the new year.

Key earnings this week

  • Monday
  • Commercial Metals Company
  • Greenbrier Companies

Tuesday

  • RPM International
  • Apogee Enterprises

Wednesday

  • Jefferies Financial
  • Albertsons Companies

Thursday

  • Walgreens Boots Alliance
  • KB Home
  • Tilray Brands

Friday

  • Taiwan Semiconductor
  • Delta Air Lines
  • Wipro

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