Reversal patterns indicate a shift in market sentiment from the current trend. These patterns indicate the dominant players, bulls or bears, have run out of steam.
Let’s say the market is in an uptrend accompanied by bullish excitement, where buyers feel the price will continue to rise but start stalling when it reaches a certain point. When that happens, traders could see a ‘tug of war’ between buyers and sellers where sellers ultimately take over and push the price to the downside, resulting in a reversal.
The same can be said if the market is in a downtrend where buyers will take over and push the price higher, resulting in a reversal from the downtrend.
At market peaks, reversals are known as distribution patterns, in which the financial asset has more selling pressure than buying pressure. On the other hand, reversals that occur at market bottoms are known as accumulation patterns, in which the financial asset sees more buying pressure than selling pressure.
Let’s go over some popular reversal patterns below.
Wedges (rising and falling)
A wedge pattern is created by two sloping trendlines connecting the highs and lows of the candlesticks, moving closer together as the price moves. Wedges can be distinguished as either a rising wedge or a falling wedge.
A rising wedge typically appears when the market is in an uptrend. It shows the price bouncing off the support and resistance lines moving closer together as the market rises. With a rising wedge, the support line will usually be steeper than the line of resistance.
Once the price breaks out of the support line, it could be a possible signal to take a short position as the market is likely to reverse to the downside.
A falling wedge appears when the market has been in a downtrend, with the price bouncing between support and resistance moving closer together. However, in this case, the resistance line is steeper than the line of support.
Once the price breaks out of the resistance line, it could be a possible signal to take a long position.
Head and shoulders
The head and shoulder pattern is a reversal pattern created by three peaks. The middle peak is higher, known as the head, with two smaller peaks on each side, known as the shoulders.
While this pattern forms, the price will likely test the same support level, the neckline. However, once the third peak is formed, it’s likely to fall back to the support level and break through it to confirm the reversal towards the downside. Traders might want to wait for the support line to be broken before deciding on a trade.
When the market is in a downtrend, the same pattern can appear, known as the inverted head and shoulders, where the neckline is a resistance level instead of a support. Price will make three bottom points, with the middle bottom being lower than the two next to it.
Once the third bottom has formed, the price will likely rise and break out of the resistance neckline, indicating a reversal to the upside. Again, traders might want to wait for the resistance level to be broken before deciding on a trade.
The volume will likely fall while the pattern forms and rebound once the price breaks out of the neckline.
Double tops
Double tops are among one of the more popular bearish reversal patterns for some traders. A double-top pattern shows an asset’s price trying to break out above a previous high at a resistance level but failing; when this happens, the pattern looks like the letter ‘M’.
The two highs are almost identical in height. The retracement between the two high peaks is the support level.
Traders could wait for the price to come back down and break out of the support level, confirming that the price will likely reverse into a downtrend.
With a double-top pattern, the price target is generally the same distance as the distance between the support and resistance levels of the pattern.
Double bottoms
The double bottom is the inverse of a double top pattern and is a bullish reversal pattern. It looks the same as the double top, but instead of the letter ‘M’, it looks like the letter ‘W’.
This pattern indicates that the price failed to break the previous low point, creating a support level. The resistance level is the retracement in the middle of the two low points.
If the price moves back up and breaks the resistance level, that could be confirmation that the market is likely to reverse to the upside.
With a double bottom, the price target is also generally the same distance as the distance between the support and resistance levels of the pattern.
As a side note, if the second low point is higher than the first, this could be a stronger indication that the market will likely reverse to an uptrend. The same can be said for a double-top if the second peak is lower than the first.
However, traders might still want to wait for the price to break the support or resistance level, depending on the trend, before making any trading decisions.
Triple tops and bottoms
Triple tops and bottoms are identical to double tops and bottoms; however, instead of failing to break the previous high or low just once, it fails to break it twice.
In an uptrend, the price will make a double top, but instead of the price breaking the support level going down, it will go back up and try to break the previous highs again. In which case, it fails, falling back to support, where traders could wait for confirmation to see a breakout of the support level for a reversal towards a downtrend.
In a downtrend, the price will make a double bottom and rise back up to resistance created by the retracement from the first low point. Instead of the price breaking the resistance level, it will move back down again, trying to break the two previous bottom points but fails.
When the price moves up again towards the resistance level, traders could wait for confirmation to see if the price breaks out of the resistance level. If there is a breakout, this could signal a possible reversal towards the upside.
Rounding top or bottom
A rounded top pattern will appear after a strong uptrend where the price will seem to continue upward by creating higher highs. However, buyers will start to lose steam as the higher highs change to lower highs, creating an overall ‘U’ shape before reversing into a downtrend.
In a rounding bottom, the sentiment is the same, with prices making a series of lower highs before sellers start losing steam and the market starts creating higher highs, signalling that buyers are taking over. This could be a signal that a reversal towards the upside is possible.
The price action for rounding tops and bottoms is the same as for double tops and bottoms. However, this pattern develops over more intervals than just two and doesn't have a strong retracement, as we saw in the double tops and bottoms pattern.